Conservatives - 33.6% (+0.2)
Liberals - 31.1% (-1.2)
New Democrats - 16.1% (+0.4)
Greens - 9.8% (+1.1)
Bloc Quebecois - 9.0% (-0.6)
The Conservatives maintained their strength, and even built a little on it. The Liberals, however, had another big loss. Nevertheless, the two parties are still incredibly close. The NDP gain of almost half-a-point is a good sign for them, and the gain of the Greens is also positive. The seat projection for these results is as follows, with the difference from last month in brackets:
Conservatives - 125 (+1)
Liberals - 109 (-2)
Bloc Quebecois - 49 (-1)
New Democrats - 25 (+2)
Greens - 0 (unchanged)
The Liberals and Conservatives trade seats, do not change much, but the Tories do open up their seat lead a little bit. thing, however. The Bloc loses one seat but the NDP are up two.
The regional results, with difference from last month in brackets:BRITISH COLUMBIA (eight polls - about 1,720 people)
Conservatives - 33.8% (-4.0)
Liberals - 26.9% (-1.0)
New Democrats - 24.7% (+3.3)
Greens - 14.4% (+2.7)
ALBERTA (seven polls - about 1,110 people)
Conservatives - 61.4% (+2.5)
Liberals - 17.5% (-2.2)
New Democrats - 11.3% (+0.1)
Greens - 9.5% (-0.1)
PRAIRIES (seven polls - about 830 people)
Conservatives - 47.8% (+0.4)
Liberals - 22.6% (+1.1)
New Democrats - 22.6% (+1.4)
Greens - 6.7% (-1.6)
ONTARIO (nine polls - about 5,370 people)
Liberals - 37.5% (-1.1)
Conservatives - 36.5% (unchanged)
New Democrats - 14.2% (-0.7)
Greens - 11.3% (+1.7)
QUEBEC (ten polls - about 4,110 people)
Bloc Quebecois - 36.2% (-0.9)
Liberals - 29.3% (-1.4)
Conservatives - 15.9% (+0.4)
New Democrats - 11.5% (+1.8)
Greens - 7.2% (+0.5)
ATLANTIC CANADA (eight polls - about 990 people)
Liberals - 37.1% (-0.1)
Conservatives - 27.5% (-2.1)
New Democrats - 27.1% (-0.5)
Greens - 7.7% (+3.1)
The NDP and the Greens had the best month, each increasing their vote share in four regions. The NDP's 3.3-point gain in British Columbia is especially important, but the 0.7-point loss in Ontario is a problem. The Greens gained almost three points in British Columbia, good news for Elizabeth May.
The Conservatives had a good month, increasing their vote share in three regions and staying unchanged in one. Their biggest point gain comes in Alberta, however, which doesn't help them much. Their 4-point loss in British Columbia, however, is a big problem.
The Liberals did not have a good month, losing support in five regions. However, their losses were modest so it isn't too much cause for concern.
Finally, the Bloc lost about a point in Quebec. This blow is softened by the fact that the Liberals lost a little more and the gain went mostly to the NDP.
